The Bitcoin price has started 2025 fantastically with an increase of 10%. Now the question is of course where we will end up this year. Because it is still a bull market, and expectations are high. If the bull market lasts long enough, I expect a Bitcoin price of at least $200,000.
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The foundation of the bull market
First, it is important for Bitcoin’s bull market that the US economy remains healthy. That is the case for the time being, and I use the indicator below for that, which is compiled based on a few important indicators.
Based on the volatility in the stock markets, the bond markets, and the credit spread for loans to risky companies, a background color is created; green = bullish, red = bearish.
For the time being, the American economy is strong, and that is exactly what Bitcoin needs to continue the bull run. Of course, that doesn’t guarantee anything about the price, but without these circumstances it would not have been possible for Bitcoin to rise further.
This requirement has therefore been met for the time being.
Bitcoin price of at least $200,000
Then it’s time for a prediction. And for that I use the indicator in the bottom panel of this chart.
We get that number by dividing the current Bitcoin price by the 365-day rolling trading volume-weighted price.
This now results in a score of 1.50. The Bitcoin price usually only reaches its top when this score reaches 3.00 points. At current prices, you end up with a Bitcoin price of $203,640 as the ultimate top of the bull run.
But as the price rises, the 365-day average also rises, and thus also the ultimate price peak. In that respect, the peak could in theory be a lot higher, provided the price reaches the score of 3.0 again and the bull market lasts long enough.
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Source: https://newsbit.nl/zo-kan-de-bitcoin-koers-naar-ruim-200-000-stijgen/