During the night of Saturday local time, Iran launched an attack with “suicide” drones and cruise missiles on Israel. Multiple military analysts suggest that up to 100 drones and an unknown number of cruise missiles were launched with the intention of overwhelming the Israeli defense system. In addition, they add the possibility that rockets will be fired from Lebanon in coordination with the Iranian attack
▶️The #IRGC has just officially taken responsibility for attacks against #Israel.
Moments ago, the regime’s state TV aired a statement from the IRGC, stating that the group launched dozens of drones and missiles toward Israel in retaliation for the murder of seven IRGC… pic.twitter.com/IauK01U3Tb
— Navid Mohebbi (@navidmohebbi) April 13, 2024
Iranian television confirmed the drone attack and the Revolutionary Guard issued a statement also talking about missiles.
Some drones have already been intercepted in Syrian and Jordanian airspace and the latter declared a state of emergency. Both countries, along with Iraq and Israel, closed their airspace.
The expected attack comes in response to the bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria by the Israeli army. As we explained in another article “The Islamic Republic thus faces a dilemma: it must respond, and probably with unprecedented intensity, but it cannot do so without offering Israel the opportunity to unleash an all-out war that would erase open differences at a stroke. between Netanyahu and Biden.”
From Latin America, the newest ally of the Zionist state, Argentine President Javier Milei, canceled his tour of Europe due to the “possibility of suffering a terrorist attack,” according to sources close to the official delegation.
US National Security Council spokesperson Adrienne Watson told the media that: “President Biden is being regularly briefed on the situation by his national security team and will meet with them this afternoon at the White House “.
This attack is likely to take place over several hours.
“President Biden has been clear: our support for Israel’s security is strong. The United States will stand with the people of Israel and support their defense against these threats from Iran.”
Democratic Representative Adam Smith, head of the congressional committee that oversees military affairs, spoke to CNN about the possibility that this is a “measured” attack that allows Israel not to escalate and the Iranian regime to save face. This seems more like an expression of wish and a way to put pressure on Netanyahu since a counterattack could trigger a regional war, in a highly unstable area of the world.
In another analysis we said that there were two alternative hypotheses about Benjamin Netanyahu’s strategy behind the attack on the Iranian embassy. The first states that the objective is to trigger a war with Iran and, in this way, force the United States and the Western powers to align behind Israel. The other is that Israel attacked precisely because it sees that Iran is weak, that it is not in a position to go to war against Israel and that, therefore, it had to take advantage of that window of opportunity to hit the ayatollah regime and deter their allies of the “axis of resistance”.
For now there are no certainties about how the confrontation will continue. Netanyahu faces an enormous internal crisis in which his political survival, and perhaps even his freedom, depend on continuing the war-genocide in Gaza and keeping his far-right partners happy, who reject any solution that implies recognizing any status even if it is an apartheid regime for the Palestinian population.
For its part, the Iranian government needs to restore confidence in the regime’s largely delegitimized institutions, as demonstrated by the historically low turnout in the last elections, while reasserting its regional power.
For both, the prospect of uniting their country against an external threat may be a solution in the short term, but totally uncertain in the medium and long term.
Developing
Source: www.laizquierdadiario.com