What if you had invested in Tesla in early 2025?

Tesla closed 2025 with a strong share price increase of more than twenty percent. But behind that profit is a year full of unrest, recovery and new concerns towards 2026.

A profit of 20 percent

At the beginning of January, the Tesla price was around $379. Those who entered for $1,000 bought approximately 2.64 shares. At the end of December, the stock closed at $459.64. That means a profit of more than $81 per share, or a total of $214. Not bad, especially given the turbulence in the market.

First down, then recovery

The year started off rough for Tesla. In the first quarter, the share took a big hit due to concerns about declining demand and declining margins. But as the year progressed, confidence returned. Investors saw new opportunities, especially in the summer. Tesla made visible progress in energy storage, autonomous technology and robotics.

The rise of Tesla’s humanoid robots is generating increasing interest from investors. Elon Musk even states that these robots will eventually become more important for sales than the cars themselves.

Yet the unrest continued to simmer. At the end of 2025 it became clear that a major battery deal with South Korea’s L and F had been significantly downgraded. Of an expected contract value of $2.9 billion, only just over $7 million remains. Analysts say this is likely due to shifting production plans and changing battery strategies, not a rupture. But it does fuel doubts about Tesla’s pace and direction.

Concerns about silver and cost increases

Silver also causes headaches. Elon Musk recently warned that new export regulations in China could complicate silver supplies. And this while the silver price fluctuated sharply. Silver is an important raw material for electrical systems in cars and solar energy products. A shortage can therefore have a significant impact on costs.

What will 2026 bring?

Tesla’s stock market year once again shows what makes the share so special. Those who entered at the beginning of 2025 made a profit. But the way up was anything but quiet. With new concerns about batteries and raw materials, Tesla remains a stock that offers opportunities but also poses risks. 2026 could be just as unpredictable.