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Today, the long-awaited Ethereum ETFs are finally launching. Some analysts are predicting a huge surge in demand, but algorithmic trading firm Wintermute warns that it could be disappointing.
Adjust expectations?
The US spot Bitcoin ETFs raised a whopping $13.8 billion in their first 100 days. This understandably leads to similar expectations for the Ethereum ETFs. However, Wintermute views the introduction of Ether ETFs with some caution.
In a report, the firm shares the general consensus that annual inflows for the Ethereum ETFs will be between $4.8 and $6.4 billion. However, Wintermute itself is less optimistic and predicts an inflow of only $3.2 to $4 billion. This is significantly lower than the estimates of other analysts. But what is this conservative forecast based on?
Why are the Ethereum ETFs different?
Wintermute’s reserved expectations are based on two main factors. First, the ETFs lack a staking mechanism, which reduces Ethereum’s appeal as an investment. Staking is a process by which users lock up their Ethereum in exchange for rewards. The lack of this could deter investors.
Secondly, Wintermute wonders what exactly would attract investors to Ethereum. While Bitcoin has successfully positioned itself as “digital gold,” Ethereum has a more complex ecosystem with diverse applications. However, these broad applications could actually be an advantage.
Within the ecosystem, Ethereum operates not only as a digital currency but also as a robust platform for decentralized applications (dApps) and smart contracts. This dual functionality has the potential to attract investors interested in technological innovations and the diverse applications of blockchain technology.
Only time will tell how much capital the Ethereum ETFs will actually attract. What is certain is that the ETFs are a huge milestone for the crypto industry.
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Source: https://newsbit.nl/wat-kunnen-we-verwachten-van-de-ethereum-etfs/