This Wednesday can be a nightmare for Javier Milei: For the first time the Chamber of Deputies could reject one or more of its presidential vetoes. It is no accident that they are laws that involve groups that have been mobilized against the adjustment of the government in a very persistent way and touched the public and media agenda. The Retirees that protest every Wednesday outside the Congress and the collective of the Disability They made themselves heard on the street, and freedom progress was reaper to get the wills to shield the vetoes. They are not secured the third to do so: if there is perfect assistance they need 86 deputies and deputies to sustain the presidential decision.
The session is summoned for 12 noon and no one doubts that there will be whose. It is driven by Union for the Homeland, Federal Meeting, Democracy Forever, the Left Front and the Civic Coalition.
Themes are a headache for freedom progresses. He I veto the emergency in disability, increased retirement and extension of the pension moratorium They will concentrate the attention of the day. If some or all vetoes are rejected, then they will have to go through the Senate filter (which has the most raided path) and only there they would fall completely. Another veto that is going to be Emergency for the flooded of Bahía Blanca: In this case it was already rejected by the upper house, and if deputies follow the same path it will be the first veto that would fall in the Milei era.
The agenda includes Investigative Commission $ Libra: A resolution will be voted that will unlock the tie that prevented its operation, and enable the scandal that involves Javier Milei and his sister Karina, until November 10, 2025. That is, it would remain on the agenda throughout the electoral campaign and could more complicate the ruling party.
The focus for many governors will be put in the two projects that have driven and come with half a sanction of the Senate: the distribution of the ATN and changes in liquid fuel tax To keep public resources automatically. If approved this Wednesday they would become law and could be subject to new presidential vetoes. La Libertad progresses will seek to make modifications to what voted to the Senate so that it has to return to that camera and gain time to negotiate with the provinces. Finally, the change of time spindle and changes in the amounts for crimes of tax evasion will be discussed.
An adjusted carrier
To reject a presidential veto you need to do it with two thirds of those present in both cameras. In the case of deputies, if there were perfect assistance, the number of wills amounts to 172. But that is the scenario.
As a reference scenario are the voting when the three laws vetoed by Milei obtained the half sanction.
The case of the Emergency in disability is the one that has the most chance to reject the veto: When the average sanction was voted He already did it with two thirds of those present. 148 affirmative and 71 negative (with 3 abstentions and 34 absent). The eyes are put in the block of the UCR that accompanied the law with 12 affirmative of the 14 members of his bench. After the closure of the lists, the Mendoza That they closed a common list with freedom progresses, they can be more While the Cordobés Rodrigo de Loredo That he knew how to accompany the ruling party, when he is out of the list he has less incentives to align.
In it PROonly Deputy Baldassi voted in favor of the emergency in disability. But this time there are no surprises of those injured by the closure of lists of the yellow party. María Eugenia Vidal He had voted against the emergency law, and do not rule out that this time he subtracts even with an absence as he already did Silvia Lospendato. Álvaro González It is another of the Discolos that could go against the Government.
Another tribe that can be decisive is that of The governors of Salta, Misiones and Rio Negro Nucleadas in Federal Innovation. In the average sanction they had only contributed two affirmative votes (Calletti and Vega de Salta), while the order of the Weretilneck and Passalcqua governors was absent. The link of these leaders with the Executive Power is the most oiled since the beginning of the presidency of Milei, and the calls of the last moment always point to their territories.
The deputy Ex Libertario Oscar Zago He contributed two absences of his mid -sanction block, and now he publicly announced that they will go against the increase to retirement and the emergency in disability. They will only help Milei shield the presidential veto to the extension of the pension moratorium according to their public statements.
He Increased retirement It is another of the vetoes that is shot to be rejected, although with more difficulties than in disability to bring together the number. In the average sanction he obtained 142 affirmative and 67 negatives (with 19 abstentions and 28 absent). As the two thirds to reject the veto are calculated on the total number of issued (without abstentions or absent), if that vote would be repeated to go against Milei’s decision. On that occasion, except 4 UCR deputies who voted in favor of increasing retirees, most abstained.
The case of The extension of the pension moratorium is the one that is farther from rejecting the presidential veto. In the half sanction he obtained 111 affirmative and 100 negatives. The antecedent plays in favor of freedom progresses: it was the only one of the three votes where the third to shield the veto. Anyway, there are some deputies who do not lose optimism and do not rule out that several of those who rejected the law originally change their vote and uncheck the ruling.
Another focus will be in the assistance of blocks that drive the session: Each vote will be essential to reach two thirds. When the three laws vetoed in the lower house were approved, the radicals of Democracy forever They had three absent, and Union for the Homeland four. In both blocks Many times governors have put their tail to help Mileism. In the case of Peronism, the provinces of Catamarca and Santiago del Estero They have contributed collaborations, not to mention Tucumán. In the radicals “Blue”, the governors of Chaco, between Rios and Santa Fe They did the same.
The day on Wednesday You can mark a new turning point for the government of Javier Milei. The triumphalist airs of the “87 heroes” that helped shield the presidential vetoes of 2024 move away more and more, with two new factors that combined. On the one hand, the injured by the closure of lists of the legislative elections. Of the other, street pressure and social discomfort that when they surround the congress they make it more difficult to become a gondola of the ruling party.
Source: www.laizquierdadiario.com
