Photo: Red approach, mobilization in front of the National Congress

“Everyone knows what I’m going to do, let’s veto. And if the veto falls we will be prosecuted,” were the words of Javier Milei a few hours after the Senate The Extension of retirement moratorium, an increase in the bond of retirement assets and the emergency in disability on a day marked by a hard defeat for the national government.

His statements did not surprise anyone. Besides that he had already announced it, the official policy so far is the veto. He did so when the previous increase in retirement assets (very modest just like this) was sanctioned, in September of last year and in the case of the University Financing Law in October also last year.

It seems that the government is heading to do the same, although this time with a more uncertain future since today its link with the governors (which allowed it to reach the numbers to veto the previous times) does not go through a good moment.

How much expense do the laws that Milei want to veto?

The Congress Budget Office elaborated two information in which the expense that would imply for the State what was voted on both the pension and in disability is measured. Let’s look at the main data.

Pension moratorium

  • In the case of the Extension for two years of the pension regularization regime provided for in Law 27,805 has An estimated cost of 0.084% of GDP for the first year and 0.081% for the second, totaling an accumulated fiscal cost of 0.165% of GDP.

    Source: Congress Budget Office

  • According to information available and considering that many potential beneficiaries of the PUAM would choose the contributory benefit, it was estimated that there would be 441,226 new beneficiaries who would enter approximately half the first year and the rest to the second year.

    Increase in bonus

  • If the value of the bonus that reinforces the minimum assets rose from $ 70,000 per month to $ 105,000 from June, the fiscal cost would be $ 1,164,172 million (0.14% of GDP), with an annualized cost of $ 1,992,853 million (0.23% of GDP).

    Source: Congress Budget Office

  • In the event that the benefit rose to $ 115,000 the impact would reach $ 1,500,961 million (0.17% of GDP), with an annualized cost of $ 2,567,477 million (0.30% of GDP).

    Emergency in disability

  • About him Expenditure on non -contributory pensionsare projected two possible scenarios. one of base and another potential for demand expansion, which imply an increase of between 493 thousand and 946 thousand new beneficiaries respectively. This represents an estimated fiscal impact of between 0.22 % and 0.42 % of GDP, depending on the scenario considered.

    Source: Congress Budget Office

  • With respect to extraordinary compensation for providers of the basic benefit system, An additional expense of 277,349 million is calculated to compensate for the difference between updated tariffs and the evolution of the consumer price index between December 2023 and December 2024. This represents 0.03 % of GDP.
  • With respect to Assignments for Protected Production Workshops, an additional expenditure of 7,160 million, equivalent to 0.0008% of GDP is estimated.

    As we see, the cost for the State in both issues is veryy but still, the government has already demonstrated its will to veto it and began the thread with the governors to try to have new “87 heroes” that ratify that veto. However, as we said, it has it more difficult than last year.

    If both the moratorium and the increase in retirement and the emergency in disability could become law is due to persistence in the streets of the protagonists of both sectors and for the sympathy and popular support that these causes harvest.

    Now, more than ever you have to deepen that path. Uniting all the claims and mobilizing is the only way to twist the direction that Milei, the great entrepreneurs and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) want to impose us. The next appointment: on Thursday, June 17 at 4:30 p.m. in Defense of the Garrahan and Public Health.


  • Source: www.laizquierdadiario.com



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