A government in free fall and an opposition always willing to give it a hand. Editorial of “The Red Circle”, a program on the daily left that is broadcast every Saturday from 12 to 14 by radio with you 89.9.

  • Listing the defeats or setbacks of Javier Milei in recent times can give an idea of ​​the complex situation in which his government and his political project are.
  • The homophobic and reactionary speech that I pronounce in the Davos forum was on January 23, that is, just two and a half months ago, and it seems that a century passed. You will remember generated a wide street mobilization against you and an extended rejection of the majority of society (captured by public opinion studies).

  • In this time of time, Milei is a victim of the acceleration that he himself printed in politics (and that is characteristic of these rights, but let’s look at what Donald Trump is doing): the speed that in the initial confusion allowed him to “dominate the agenda” or “occupy the center” by the topic on topic, it is the same drives to a rapid accumulation of defeats and an accelerated descent.
  • Less than a month after Davos (in mid -February), the $ Libra case that continues to bouncing in Argentina and in the world (and can still have judicial consequences) exploded; Then came the movement that was armed around the retirees and retired with the football fans; Then on March 24 with the streets full while the government launched a denialist discourse from the State, and this week with the speech in favor of the autonomy of the Kelpers occupied by the Falkland Islands.

  • That is, it was not only entering a deep economic crisis due to a model that artificially supported a ironed dollar and for that objective burned BCRA reserves, but also lost each and every one of the disputes of the “cultural battle”.

  • With that fund frame, the exchange crisis that led to that in just over 15 days the BCRA lost 3 billion dollars to contain the contributions of the parallel dollars. The increase in country risk that yesterday reached 925 points; the change in trend in inflation (March is probably around 3%).

  • All this dynamic was accompanied by a fall in the image of Milei and his government. The consultant Tendencies It is processing the data of a work ended these days in which, for the first time, in its records the negative image surpasses the positive and also reveals the formation of sharp majorities around issues such as: the clear responsibility of Milei in the case of $ Libra; against government policy towards retirees; majorities in favor of memory, truth and justice with the issue dictatorship, etc.

  • This is the framework in which the defeat occurred policy most important from Milei so far from its administration and was in the Senate: the rejection of the specifications of Ariel Lijo and Manuel García-Mansilla for the Supreme Court of Justice. Let’s stop a little here: what happened in the Senate?; Did they grab a republicanism attack on many of serial collaborators who voted everything to Milei? Obviously, both Peronism and Macrismo (Macri became more active against Milei’s “environment” and to defend his bastion, the CABA) perceive the political weakness and the labyrinth in which the government is located.

  • In this scenario exploits the atomic bomb Donald Trump launches on the world economy with the war of tariffs practically against everyone. The European response, the Chinese response and a hecatombe that still unpredictable consequences, but that will brutally disrupt international dynamics. There were already landslides in the bags and this obviously included Argentina. For example, both oil and soybeans collapsed both.

  • On this issue, only two preliminary reflections: it is a Trump attempt to “solve” the US hegemony crisis with a clearly utopian orientation that aims to “enclose” international development and increasingly global development of productive forces within the borders of national states. Point for Marx that raised this for a long time was one of the central contradictions of capitalism; and defeat of those who theorized a tendency to the harmonious globalization of capitalism.

  • Secondly, although the concrete measures could not be guess (although Trump had announced them); Yes, dynamics could be foreseen. And the dynamic (for some time) is that of a world that closes on itself, exactly contrary to the road map and Milei’s ideology. Therefore, “theorizing” the strength of Milei (as many did in this time) by abstractioning international dynamics, minimal sinned from excess provincialism.

  • All this accelerated the desperate order of dollars to the IMF. The executive directory met this week (according to Bloomberg) and there is still no consensus among the members in relation to the size of the initial disbursement. That is, everything is greener than Milei-Caputo said.

  • Milei attended an event in Mar-A-Lago, the residence of Donald Trump in Florida, but returned empty-handed, without video, without video and some bad tongues say that with a nerve attack.

  • That is, the entire Milei plan is in Franco Draumbe. Apart from how the dynamics are forward; The Milei we met so far “already was.”

  • I raise only a few words about the opposition and especially Peronism. Let’s see, you have to stop saying that “Cristina Kirchner’s dispute / La Cámpora with Axel Kicillof is not understood”. It is true that it is a fight in the same political-ideological tile. Even in the dynamics because Kicillof since it was proposed to be screened as presidential faced a turn to the center (remember the approaches to Maximiliano Pullaro, the governor of Santa Fe; or the governor of Chubut, Nacho Torres, they will remember when the “Che” Guevara was made and threatened that he was not going to leave a drop of oil and then disciplined it). It is true what ventilate from the Christianity that much of the Albertismo that was not, went to shelter with Kicillof. Among them a lot of union leadership that was very “kind” with Milei. But that was always Cristina’s orientation (Scioli, Alberto Fernández, Massa), in fact, one of his allies in this dispute is Massa.

  • Now, that does not mean that it is not understood: it is a dispute for power within a Peronism in crisis and for that they have no problems in manipulating or interning manipulate the electoral calendar, what is not understood? The problem is not that they fight “much” among them, but that they faced “little” (I insist, they and their union allies) to Milei, beyond Twitter.

  • That is the discussion that is raised: how to take advantage of this moment not only of Milei’s weakness to defeat his liberticidal plan, but in the context of a Trump that kicked the international board, in a world in which the “center” options are more outdated than ever and the possibility of thinking everything again opens.

    • Politics / IMP / Peronism / Donald Trump / Javier Milei

    Source: www.laizquierdadiario.com



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