This Monday Milei presented the National Budget for Exercise 2026. In the short message recorded by the National Chain, without giving many details, it promised increases in disabilities and that the retirements were going to be part of the bulk of the budget, in the numbers presented, the reality is another.
According to Milei, disability pensions will receive an increase of 5% above the estimated inflation by 2026. However, a reduction in the total item for this item is projected in the project.
The projected amount for the National Disability Agency (Andis), under the Ministry of Health, amounts to $ 5.21 billion, a slight increase of 8.3% of the current allocation of $ 4.8 billion. But if we consider that the inflation estimated by the Government is 10%, in real terms there is a de -financing of the Andis, even more if inflation ends up being greater. The survey carried out by the Central Bank estimates 17.7% for next year.
But even more, the amount allocated to payment for disability pensions administered by Andis falls in nominal terms: it is expected to assign $ 4,038 billion, a figure smaller than the current allocation for this concept: $ 4,059 billion. According to the Ministry of Health, next year they want to cut 156 thousand pensions for disability of the current 1,133,549 pensions that it manages.
As for retirement, Milei promised by 2026 an increase in retirement spending by 5% “above inflation”, estimated of 10% per year. However, in the forms sent to the Congress, the detail of the assignments for Social Security is not included, so it cannot be known, among other things, if the government plans to increase the $ 70,000 bonus, frozen since March 2024, or some extra item to compensate for the deterioration of retirement.
But what does detail the budget message is a reduction in the items aimed at paying pension sentences. The amount is reduced from $ 390,050 million to $ 212,288 million, almost half of what is projected a year ago. The cut is equivalent to a nominal reduction of 45% and almost 60% discounting inflation.
According to the specialist Ismael Bermúdez, it is estimated that Anses has 270,000 judgments in process, of which 90,000 have firm sentences that are pending payment. According to the pension law, firm sentences must be canceled within 120 days. That includes the payment of retroactivity since two years before the beginning of the trial and the readjustment of the current assets.
But that is not fulfilled because Anses pays every year the departure that marks the national budget, which reached about 35,000/40,000 sentences. And the stock is not reduced because new judgments enter.
Currently, the federal and social security cameras of Tucumán, Córdoba, Mendoza, Salta, Mar del Plata, Rosario and Bahía Blanca, declared the unconstitutionality of the mobility formula applied between 2021 and March 2024 -during the government of Alberto Fernández. And ordered to repair the loss accumulated throughout that period. The Government acknowledges that there was that loss but does not repair it to which it is added that the bonus of up to $ 70,000 for minimum assets has been frozen since March 2024.
The Government presents the 2026 budget at its worst, in a serious financial crisis, after a forceful electoral defeat in the province of Buenos Aires, and in the prior to the October legislative elections. Increases ads contradict the numbers presented, and even more so with what it presents as the basis of the budget, the adjustment for the fiscal balance requested by the IMF.
No confidence in the National Congress that comes from voting against retirees and that the Base Law (with suspicions of corruption) and so many other standards of adjustment and delivery.
We can only trust our own strength to defeat the adjustment. Tomorrow Wednesday, all to the streets against the vetoes.
Source: www.laizquierdadiario.com
