Bitcoin (BTC) is deeply in his bull market, but according to the well -known market analyst, Capital is stretching the end of this cycle may be closer than many think. Based on historical data, he expects that the next peak of the current Bitcoin cycle will take place within a few months.
Historical patterns indicate autumn peak
Capital stretches the market structure of Bitcoin and compared it with previous semi -detached cycles. Based on the behavior in 2016 and 2020, he concludes that Bitcoin usually reaches peak 518 to 550 days after a halving. Now, according to him, we are around 88 percent in the post-Halving period. This indicates a potential peak between the end of September and mid -October 2025.
Although some investors hope for a longer cycle towards 2026, Capital warns against too optimistic expectations. He states that investors run the risk of missing the ideal winning moment if they deviate too much from the historical pattern.
What makes this cycle unique is, according to Rekt Capital, the exceptionally long racing phase after the April 2024 Halving. For eight months, Bitcoin stuck in a consolidation phase. According to him, this was necessary to correct the strong price rise before the halving. As a result, the market came back in line with the usual pattern.
Decrease in Momentum, risks increase
While Bitcoin is currently consolidating just below his all-time high, Capital points out earlier cycles in which a period of decreasing momentum preceded a new revival. He speaks of “price discovering corrections” that were also visible in 2017 and 2021.
Yet he warns: As we get closer to the end of the cycle, the risk-return relationship shifts. The upward potential decreases, while the risk of a major correction increases.
Historical corrections of 60 to 70 percent after bull market peaks underline this danger. Stretches Capital acknowledges that earlier cycles sometimes ended something, but he warns not to see this as certainty:
“The danger is that if we keep moving the goal posts, we will miss that bull -market peak at some point,” he says.
His advice is clear: investors must now focus on preparation and risk management, and not blindly rely on new theories without a historical basis. Everything that falls outside the expected time window must be seen as a bonus and not as a guarantee for further increases. At the time of writing, Bitcoin acts around 109,000 and remains near his record of $ 112,000
Source: https://newsbit.nl/bitcoin-loopt-mogelijk-snel-tegen-piek-aan-waarschuwt-bekende-analist/
