The war in the Middle East has entered a new phase of strategic assessment after United States officials acknowledged that, despite intense attacks, Iran’s regime continues to function.
The statement was made by the Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, during a hearing in the American Senate, when analyzing the impacts of the recent conflict.
According to the assessment, the country suffered significant losses in its military structure and leadership, but maintains its power base. As Gabbard stated, “the regime appears to be intact but largely degraded due to attacks on its leadership and military capabilities”.
Attacks weakened Iran’s military capabilities
US intelligence analyzes indicate that the bombings carried out by the United States and Israel caused significant damage to the Iranian armed forces.
According to the data presented, Iran’s ability to project military power was severely reduced, with the destruction of a relevant part of its strategic infrastructure. Even so, the country remains capable of responding to threats and continuing to operate in the region.
The assessment also highlights that the impact of the attacks was not limited to the military field. The death of leaders and damage to strategic structures contributed to a scenario of internal instability.
Regime remains, but faces pressure scenario
Despite the losses, Iran’s political structure continues to function. Experts point out that the government maintains institutional control, even in the face of internal and external pressure.
American intelligence assesses that the country is likely to face a prolonged period of difficulties, especially in the economic field, aggravated by international sanctions and the costs of war.
Second Gabbard, “internal tensions will likely increase as the Iranian economy worsens”indicating a risk of social instability in the medium term.
Military reconstruction could take years
Another point highlighted by US authorities is the time needed to recover Iranian military power.
The expectation is that, if the regime continues, the country will begin a reconstruction process that could last years, focusing on missiles, drones and other military technologies.
In this scenario, Iran tends to look for alternatives to rebuild its strategic capacity, which could influence the balance of forces in the Middle East in the coming years.
Attack capability still worries the US
Even weakened, Iran continues to be seen as a relevant threat. American intelligence warns that the country still has the means to achieve the interests of the United States and its allies in the region.
Additionally, officials highlight technological advances in Iran’s space program, which could contribute to the development of long-range missile systems in the future.
This combination of immediate capacity loss and recovery potential keeps the country at the center of global strategic concerns.
War did not achieve the objective of regime collapse
The conclusion presented in the Senate reinforces that, despite the intensity of the attacks, the objective of completely destabilizing the Iranian regime was not achieved.
The permanence of the power structure in Tehran indicates that the conflict may prolong or take on new forms, with political, military and economic impacts that are still unpredictable.
For analysts, the current scenario represents an inflection point: Iran remains weakened, but not defeated — which keeps the Middle East in a state of tension and the world attentive to the next developments in the war.
Source: https://www.ocafezinho.com/2026/03/18/inteligencia-dos-eua-admite-que-regime-do-ira-segue-de-pe-mesmo-com-ofensiva-de-trump/