XRP has been moving sideways between $1.30 and $1.50 for weeks. Despite strong fundamentals, such as record inflows into XRP ETFs and growing institutional adoption, geopolitical uncertainty surrounding Iran is gripping the entire crypto market. What do analysts expect for the rest of March?
Where is XRP now?
XRP started 2026 strong with a 25% rise to $2.40 in January, but then lost significant ground. Since mid-February, the price has fluctuated between $1.30 and $1.50, with no clear direction. The coin is therefore trading more than 60% below the peak of $3.65 that was reached in July 2025.
Technically, immediate resistance is around $1.43-$1.50. As long as XRP does not break through this, the price will remain trapped in the current bandwidth. The support is around $1.30-$1.32. A fall below that would open the door to $1.20.
Scenario 1: Stay Sideways ($1.30-$1.50)
Most short-term models expect XRP to remain within its current range in March. As long as the Iran conflict continues and Bitcoin (BTC) hangs below $70,000, the catalyst for a breakout is missing. CoinCodex analysts expect XRP to trade around $1.37 by the end of March. Changelly maintains a range between $1.33 and $1.54, with an average around $1.44.
This scenario is most likely if the geopolitical situation does not change drastically.
Scenario 2: Breakout Up ($1.50-$1.80)
If the conflict with Iran cools down quickly or Bitcoin (BTC) breaks through the $72,000 barrier, XRP could soon follow. An increase in the Bitcoin price towards $75,000 could possibly push XRP to a range of $1.60 to $1.80.
In addition, the fundamentals for XRP remain strong. The new XRP ETFs have now attracted more than $1.4 billion in capital. Big names such as Goldman Sachs and Citadel have built positions, while Ripple continues to expand its activities globally. If market sentiment turns, that underlying demand can quickly translate into a higher price.
Scenario 3: Further decline ($1.10-$1.30)
If the conflict escalates, oil prices rise towards $120-$150 and Bitcoin falls below $60,000, XRP could get sucked in. The critical support line that has held since 2015 is around $1.10. A break below that would invalidate the entire bullish structure, according to analyst EGRAG CRYPTO.
It is striking that large wallets have recently sold XRP. In the last week of February, $652 million in XRP flowed into Binance, the largest weekly inflow of 2026. That means there is more
What do analysts say about the rest of 2026?
Most analysts are more optimistic for the longer term. Standard Chartered has a price target of $2.80 for the end of 2026. Most analysts cluster around a range of $3 to $5 if macro conditions stabilize in the second half of the year.
Analyst EGRAG CRYPTO is the most bullish with intermediate targets of $4.50 and $10, and an extremely bullish scenario of $42 based on recurring patterns since 2014.
However, the key now lies with Bitcoin. XRP has a correlation of 0.84 with BTC and is amplifying its moves. Until Bitcoin takes a clear direction, XRP will likely remain stuck in its current range.
Source: https://newsbit.nl/analisten-voorspellen-xrp-koers-voor-31-maart-gratis-15-xrp-voor-nederlanders/
