The day after the elections, all eyes are on the reconfiguration of Congress and what the new relationship of forces will be. La Libertad Avanza took home a victory: it obtained first place in most districts, including Buenos Aires, Capital Federal, Santa Fe and Córdoba They are among the greatest. As he put few deputies and no senators in play, he managed to increase his blocs with “pure” libertarians. But Its growth came at the expense of the allies with those he was able to pass the most important laws or with those who collaborated in shielding vetoes such as the increase in pensions.
Milei has already announced that she wants to go for labor, tax and pension reforms that will have to go through Congress. but still He doesn’t have the strength to do it.: it will not be the majority block, it is not enough to constitute a quorum on its own, nor is it enough to shield vetoes. He will continue to need other political forces to help him. Everything you achieve will be with the help of others.
The progress of the ruling party was made at the expense of the decline of the most allied spaces by Javier Milei (as the PRO and the UCR) and the “middle blocks” that were characterized by collaborating with the government on central policies and oscillated in their oppositional position. United Provinces was the expression of this sector linked to the governors, in addition to spaces such as the Civic Coalition, Federal Encounter, radicals of Democracy for Always that have participated in Congress in these two years.
To graph it, in the Chamber of Deputies Libertad Avanza added 43 new members, and the allied or “middle” blocs fell by 41 seats..
Still We do not know how the blocks will be reorganized from December 10 and it remains to be seen to what extent the PRO, radicalism or sectors of Encuentro Federal will merge with La Libertad Avanza. But in the photo that we can see today, radicalism is the one that regresses the most in its three variants: Democracy Forever (-8), UCR (-6) and Liga del Interior (-3), losing a total of 17 seats. The PRO follows going back with 10 positions and the Civic Coalition con 4.
It is worth clarifying that, although Javier Milei said on Sunday night that “they now have 101 deputies,” In reality, those of La Libertad Avanza will be 80. Why entered under the violet seal: 10 from the PRO (4 from Buenos Aires, 3 from CABA, 1 from Córdoba, 1 from Entre Ríos and 1 from Rio Negro) and 3 from the UCR (from Mendoza, Chaco and Entre Rios). Among the 80 “puros” there is also a bishop of the governor of San Luis, Poggi (Becerra, former minister of the province).
Radicalism added another 3 deputies with their own lists. In two cases, they were driven by the governors of Corrientes (Valdes) and Jujuy (Sadir) who promote the space of “United Provinces” together with four other governors. The third radical was Martín Lousteau for CABAwho entered the edge with the last bench, remaining behind Myriam Bregman of the Left Front. Lousteau is identified with the “Democracy Forever” wing led today by Juliano from Buenos Aires and which would remain with only 4 members.
The space “United Provinces” was cut short before it was born and we will have to see what expression it has in Deputies. They ended up entering through Santa Fe Gisela Scaglia, current vice-governor of Pullaro but who is from the PRO, and Pablo Farias from the Socialist Party (from the same space as Esteban Paulón who is today part of the bloc led by Pichetto). By Córdoba It is curious that three deputies join the list headed by Schiaretti and also Natalia de la Sota who renewed with a separate list, although they currently share the same block (also with Pichetto). In the case of Holy CrossGovernor Vidal lost a deputy, and now has only one seat that answers directly to him, and Nacho Torres de Chubut It didn’t add up to anything.
On the side of Homeland Forcecurrently Unión por la Patria: they put 46 seats at stake and obtained 46 with their lists. But one of them is the Tucuman representative Gladys Medina that renewed the bank that Today he is in the Independence block of Governor Jaldo. It was one of the spaces that, entering through the Unión por la Patria lists, ended up being the most mileista in the area. Strictly 45 new seats would be added, although there are 4 other new additions that will have to be followed closely: those of Santiago del Estero who respond to Governor Zamora (2) and that of Catamarca from Jalil (1), and the last one that entered through the province of Buenos Aires. The thing is that the number 16 that entered is María Elena Velázquez from Guillermo Moreno’s space. A few months ago Moreno praised Donald Trump: what position will he take regarding the current US intervention so debated these days? It is not clear that the bloc will maintain the 97 members with this renewal, or if leaks begin as happened as soon as Milei took office when he went from 105 to 98.
He Left Front It is the only clear bloc opposed to the Milei government, with a bench of 4 members. Despite the strong polarization that took place, he made a historic choice in CABA with almost 10% entering with Myriam Bregman, and with 5% in Buenos Aires obtaining two seats with Nicolás del Caño and Romina del Pla. The new three members will join the one already occupied by Christian Castillo, also in Buenos Aires. This time Alejandro Vilca was not able to renew for Jujuyalthough he made a great choice with almost 10%.
Javier Milei has already announced that the first of the reforms he seeks to bring to Congress will be labor reformswith many of the points that it included in DNU 70/2023 that were stopped by justice, and those that it tried to pass within the Bases Law without success. The allies for this plan will not only look for them in Congress. La Libertad Avanza will once again knock on the door of Azopardo at 800 where the headquarters of the CGTanother of the fundamental allies they had these two years.
He memory of December 2017 returns like a ghost for the libertarian experiment. On that occasion, Mauricio Macri thought he had the “social consensus” to go for a retirement reform after an overwhelming victory in the legislative elections in October of that year. The street gave him a strong message. He told him no. Thus began their debacle, which was later combined with “the markets” doing their thing. If history repeats itself, farce is guaranteed. Not only for mercysino also for those who wanted to wait for the electoral change and govern over the ruins who had left the macrismo.
Source: www.laizquierdadiario.com
