Following the Argentine economy is difficult. In recent weeks we entered into a new crisis, with a increase in the dollar and a jump in the country risk that threatened not only the “macro” but also the stability of the government itself. The industrialists, the soybeans, the bankers. Milei ended up “saving potatoes”, for now, with the help of the United States but at an incalculable cost. Among the conditions of the “saviors” is the possessment devaluation.

Therefore, to talk about “the poverty rates of the first semester” already has a problem: what does it have to do with the current reality and what can happen in this country in December?

Even in that uncertainty it is inevitable to stop in that number that the Government will use in its campaign. If everyone’s front left with more than 40 % poverty, shaking 31 % is as cynical as it is valuable for the libertarian account. “Solo” one in three people and one in two children is poor. What a achievement.

But even that data has been questioned by institutions that follow the issue. Let’s make a quick review:

  • The UCA, which achieved some prestige in poverty studies, said that the decrease in poverty “must be interpreted within the framework of a macroeconomic stabilization process characterized by the slowdown in inflation and by a lower increase in the prices of the goods that integrate the basic basic baskets of consumption”, but that “a more careful analysis of the official statistical series suggests that, although the fall of poverty is. real, its magnitude is overrepresented. ” Among the problems it marks, there is “a greater net collection of labor and non-work income” in a scenario of lower food inflation, as well as “persistence in the use of basic baskets built on the consumption structure of 2004-2005, not updated.”
  • The Argentine Political Economy Center (CEPA), listed a series of methodological criticisms. Among them the underestimation of services on the household survey and their impact on poverty measurement: “The weight of non -food, particularly services and transport, in the structure of household consumption is well below its current real weight.” As other specialists are doing, a methodological basis is used that comes from 1996 and 2004, when INDEC has available in 2017/18 that is more representative of current consumption. That already distorts any result.
  • CEPA quotes a study by the Balancia consultant, where it makes a statistical rectification and the result is overwhelmed: “When this revenue correction is combined with the update of the total basic basket (which alone it raises the poverty line), a comprehensive estimate is obtained. According to the final result, the final result for the semester October 2024 – March 2025 is a poverty rate of 43.3%, which is 8.6 points percentage above the officer (34.7%).
  • Another fact that denies the official announcement is the situation of the income of the working class. Agustina Haimovich, of the Institute of Public Thought and Policies (IPyPP), points out that “the magnitude of the improvement in labor income surveyed by the EFH is striking if one takes into account that in the period analyzed the working conditions worsened due to the fall of formal employee employment as opposed to an increase in informality and precarious occupations” (P12).

    A survey of the fall of the real salary with frozen peers, the minimum wage (SMVM) that has lost 35%of its purchasing power, social plans (-75%), the feeding card (-9.5%) and other income, make the results less credible.

    One of the data that allows the Government to make these ads, in addition to these statistical maneuvers, is the decision to carry out a strong adjustment but increasing the assistance items of “survival”, such as the AUH (universal assignment per child) today established in 117 thousand pesos. The Government has consciously decided funds to that plan, which attends families according to the number of children.

    This income allows in some cases to exceed the values ​​established for destitution, and even poverty if other family, labor or non -work income is added, but keeps millions of families on the survival threshold. Raising 3 or 4 boys and girls with 450 thousand pesos allows Sandra Pettovello to say that “there is less poverty” statistical, but pushes childhoods to material, health, educational impoverishment, or speak to their families.

    Many media linked to the Peronist opposition have come out to criticize the announcement, correctly. What they forget is that the governments of the PJ have also sustained statistical manipulation, with the height of the intervention of INDEC with ducks by Guillermo Moreno. Even with distorted measurements, to the Fernández-Massa-Kirchner government, poverty numbers exceeded 40 points and almost 60 in childhoods.

    So it is a cynical debate. Do we leave 7 million kids in poverty or do we lower it a bit? 3 million retirees with assets under poverty or 3.5? Is it worse than 1 million families, they “jump” a meal or with 750 thousand is okay?

    Meanwhile, in the last 10 years the transfer of wealth of popular pockets to business accounts has exceeded 110 billion dollars.

    That is the IMF regime that nobody wants to touch: a looted country, a handful of millionaires, millions that survive.

    The Left Front is the only force that rejects that miserable destiny raised by those who govern yesterday and today. And it has an exit:

  • Increased wages, retirement and social plans to cover the family basket today valued at 2 million pesos. Updated by real inflation.
  • Immediate assistance to popular dining rooms and refund of food kidnapped by human capital.
  • Works plan to solve the structural problems of the population: hospitals, schools, clubs, housing. With that measure, one million jobs could be generated, with rights.
  • Opening of the “accounting books” of companies, starting with those of food and services that earn millions, to take measures starting by imposing a progressive tax on large fortunes, assets and profits.

    We cannot keep looking to the side, speaking of hunger figures. You have to organize and go to the streets through that exit.


  • Source: www.laizquierdadiario.com



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