Absolute power. Donald Trump has won the elections riding on the specter of electoral fraud and distrust in the American political system. But it was he who won, for the second time, with that electoral system that he questioned to the point of encouraging the assault on the Capitol; with the same system that has allowed him to turn around the Democratic majority in the Senate and be on the verge of retaining the House of Representatives: starting January 20, 2025, when he takes office as the 47th president of the United States, he will with control, also, of the Legislative Power.

Furthermore, Donald Trump has defeated Kamala Harris by presenting himself to the country as a victim of a corrupt Justice that persecutes him and condemns him for paying a porn actress for her silence; that he does not pay taxes and that he is being investigated for his participation in the assault on the Capitol on January 6, 2021 and for abuse of women.

But the truth is that Trump enjoys a conservative supermajority on the United States Supreme Court: appointments during his first term have led to there being six conservatives compared to three progressives, something unprecedented. As unprecedented as they made it possible to turn around the doctrine that has protected the right to abortion for decades in the US, taking it to very restrictive situations in states like Florida, for example.

Executive, Legislative and Judicial. Donald Trump is on the verge of taking full control of the United States, a world economic power, with several nuclear buttons and NATO hegemon. And he will do it after wanting to present himself as a outsider faced with establishment represented by the traditional Democratic and Republican elites, despite being a tycoon and having the support of one of the richest people in the world, such as Elon Musk – owner of X, where much of the misinformation is spread without a filter, and of Tesla–, and getting Jeff Bezos, the main shareholder of Amazon, to block the support of his newspaper, The Washington Postto Kamala Harris in the election campaign.

Trump has had a dark end to the campaign, talking about “internal enemies”, mocking the “garbage” of Puerto Rico at his rallies, attacking journalists and media outlets, using warmongering verbiage against former Republican leaders who supported Harris – like Liz Cheney–; saying “be the protector of women even if they don’t want to”; making up lies about migrants, such as that they ate pets in Ohio; and describing a depressed, depressing and impoverished country whose “greatness” must be recovered, which does not correspond either to the cold data or to the role it has in the world.

In any case, it has turned out well and he has achieved a complete, total victory. “Democrats have spent the entire cycle trying to appeal to moderate Republicans, without achieving much. Meanwhile, they have neglected their traditional base, which has benefited Trump,” political strategist Connor Mulhern explains to elDiario.es.

Joshua A. Cohen, data scholar and author of the Ettingermentum newsletter, understands that “Democrats had an opportunity to get it right thanks to Dobbs,” the 2022 Supreme Court ruling that annulled abortion protection. But, he adds, “the Biden Administration was so unpopular that it could make them waste that advantage.”

Cohen believes that the Democratic Party “should have held a real primary” and that “the arrival of Kamala Harris as a replacement was an improvement, but it was always a partial solution, compared to having chosen someone truly disconnected from the Biden Administration. However, the initial reaction to her seemed to connect with that profile of a generic democrat that everyone could love, and perhaps it is possible that she could have been. But a weak, conservative campaign ended up hampering any potential he could have, even though he seemed likely to win in the end, but polls have not proven able to track a significant portion of Trump’s support. It will be much more difficult to predict presidential elections in the future.”

The professor of Political Science at the City College of New York (CUNY) Carlo Invernizzi, who before the elections said that the change in campaign strategy could backfire for Harris, tells elDiario.es that the electoral result has to do with a “clear rejection of establishment of the country coming from almost all other sectors of society”; “It shows that Band-Aids are not a sufficient remedy to cure the problems that already arose in 2016” with Trump’s first victory, and “that COVID-19 probably had more weight than is thought in the result of 2020.” And he adds: “But what is really difficult to explain is why this is happening despite relatively good economic data.”

“Inflation has been a disaster for Democrats,” Mulhern argues: “It is clear that the increase in the price of a hamburger in a restaurant (for which they blame the Government) has been more important than the increase in their wages (which attributed to their own efforts). We can talk about misinformation and gender polarization, but in the end, even though salaries have risen, the average citizen has not perceived it that way; Even though they have grown more than inflation, if they see that their daily purchases at the supermarket are going up, they feel that their income is going down.”

“Inflation in everyday purchases is terrible for popularity, which has ended up resulting in Trump’s re-election.” And he sentences: “It is extremely bad for the United States and the world.”

Indeed, the consequences of Trump’s victory will not only be seen in the United States, in the setbacks in women’s rights, human rights and migrants’ rights, even in the consequences of tax cuts that will make even more precarious public services in the country. Trump’s victory will have international translation: a trade war with the European Union, a greater rapprochement with the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, with what this represents for the geopolitical balances in Europe and in relation to China.

But it also represents the biggest push imaginable for the reactionary wave that is growing in much of the world. Not in vain, at his electoral recount party he surrounded himself with Eduardo Bolsonaro, son of former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro, and the ultra-British Nigel Farage, an expert in hoaxes and misinformation – thanks to whom he achieved victory in the Brexit referendum.

Eduardo Bolsonaro is not only the son of the former ultra president. It was the one pointed out by Steve Bannon, Trump’s faithful former advisor, for the far-right club called The Movement which he tried to launch in 2019 and which intended to be a global far-right alliance that did not end up coming together organically. Led by former White House chief strategist, The Movement He supported parties and candidates throughout Europe that advocated nationalist populism in their States in the face of “the invasion of sovereignty” of international organizations.

Happiness in the global far right

Coincidences do not exist in politics. And if one of the first to congratulate and do so most generously is the ultra-Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, who has been committing genocide in Gaza for more than a year, the message is clear. “Your historic return to the White House offers a new beginning for America and a return to commitment to the great alliance between Israel and the United States. “It’s a great victory!” he wrote in X.

Another far-right, the Italian Prime Minister, Giorgia Meloni, has not fallen short either. “Italy and the United States are ‘brother’ nations, united by an unbreakable alliance, common values ​​and historic friendship. It is a strategic link, which I am sure we will now strengthen even more,” she also expressed through that social network.

The Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Orbán, has expressed himself in the same way, who years ago established good personal and political harmony with Trump and with Bannon, whom he received several times. Orbán has also been one of the European leaders in office who has maintained the most fluid relations with the former president, with whom he met during his trip to the United States to participate in the NATO summit. Orbán included the Republican in the appointments of what he called himself a “peace mission” that took him to kyiv, Moscow and Beijing when the rotating presidency of the Council of the EU began and that angered the rest of the European partners.

“The best comeback in American political history! Congratulations to President Trump on his huge victory. A much-needed victory for the world!”, Orbán celebrated in X, who assured that he would open a bottle of champagne if the Republican won the elections. This Thursday he will have the opportunity to do so at a dinner in which he will be the host of the rest of the EU leaders and in which it is planned, precisely, that they will analyze the relationship with the US after the elections.

Who could not miss the feast was the leader of the Spanish extreme right, Santiago Abascal. “It is the time of the patriots. “It is time for freedom,” he expressed in a message accompanied by a photo with Trump. Her French ally, Marine Le Pen, has said for her part: “This new political era that is opening must contribute to the strengthening of bilateral relations and the search for dialogue and constructive cooperation on the international scene.”

And the president of Argentina, another regular at ultra summits, showed his happiness at the result, recalling a message the day before in which he asked the US to free itself “from the clutches of the democrats.”

Donald Trump won this Tuesday an election that was very close. And, with this, he is about to take total control of the United States, after the inauguration, scheduled for next January 20. From there, it remains to be seen how far the setback in rights within the US and its geopolitical position goes, between the withdrawal in multilateral organizations and the affability towards Putin and the international ultras family.


Source: www.eldiario.es



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