In less than a month, Americans will go to the polls again, and the battle between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris is nerve-wracking. Although Harris has a small lead according to the polls, crypto betting platform Polymarket predicts that Trump will ultimately win.
Which source is the most reliable? According to Tesla boss Elon Musk, Polymarket’s predictions are the most accurate.
Trump leads Harris by 2.2% on Polymarket
It seemed almost a foregone conclusion that Trump would enter the White House, until current President Joe Biden withdrew from the battle on behalf of the Democrats. After Harris took over, things are more exciting than ever.
According to traditional polls, Harris, Biden’s current vice president, has even had a narrow lead over Trump for some time. For example, Real Clear Polling gives Harris a 49.1% chance of winning, and Trump 46.8%.
On Polymarket, a blockchain platform where users can bet with crypto on all kinds of events, Harris was above Trump for most of September, but this image has changed in recent days. Trump now has a 51% chance of winning the most votes, while Harris is at 48.4%.
Although in practice it is a waste of money anyway, the question now is which source is the most reliable. According to Musk, there is no doubt that Polymarket should be preferred.
Trump is now 3% ahead of Kamala in the betting markets. More accurate than polls, because there is actual money at stake,” Musk wrote on social media platform X earlier today.
In any case, Musk himself supports Trump and was even at the former president’s side yesterday during his meeting at the site of the failed assassination attempt in Butler, Pennsylvania.
“This is the most important election of our lifetime. Trump must win to save our democracy. If you don’t vote now, this will be the last election,” Musk said when he was briefly allowed to address the audience.
Trump the favorite among crypto holders
Crypto enthusiasts are eager to hope that Trump will get a second term as president. He has promised to stop the attack on the American crypto industry and even has big plans on the table, such as creating a national Bitcoin reserve. Harris has also expressed cautious support for the industry, but given the Democrats’ current crypto approach, the preference clearly goes to Trump.
Source: https://newsbit.nl/donald-trump-leidt-peilingen-onder-cryptogokkers-elon-musk-reageert/
